论文:2022,Vol:40,Issue(2):450-457
引用本文:
任博, 岳珠峰, 崔利杰, 王新河, 张峰. 混合数据信息下不确定性描述的改进最大熵函数法[J]. 西北工业大学学报
REN Bo, YUE Zhufeng, CUI Lijie, WANG Xinhe, ZHANG Feng. An improved entorpy-based representation for mixed uncertainty about intervals and points data[J]. Northwestern polytechnical university

混合数据信息下不确定性描述的改进最大熵函数法
任博1,2, 岳珠峰1, 崔利杰2, 王新河1, 张峰1
1. 西北工业大学 力学与土木建筑学院, 陕西 西安 710072;
2. 空军工程大学 装备管理与无人机工程学院, 陕西 西安 710051
摘要:
可靠性分析的基础在于不确定性的精确描述。工程实际中由于个别变量信息缺乏只能确定其区间范围,提出描述区间和离散点混合不确定性的改进最大熵函数法。该方法建立不同类型数据不确定性的联合熵函数,应用插值技术得到描述区间和离散点混合数据信息下不确定性的非参数概率密度函数,通过优化联合熵函数最大,确定非参数概率密度函数在原始数据空间上下限内均匀离散点处的概率密度值。相比于传统非参数概率确定方法,所提方法将传统分布参数估计寻优过程转化为在原始数据空间内对自定义随机离散点处的概率密度值优化,进而使用插值技术得到描述区间和离散点数据混合不确定性的最少偏见概率密度函数,其混合不确定性描述精度由自定义的随机离散点多少来确定,精度按需可控。此外,在概率理论框架下,尝试将输入混合不确定性信息向输出传递,完成输出响应的可靠性分析。所提方法计算量和精度可通过自定义离散点数量控制,对原始数据不确定性信息挖掘更充分。算例表明所提方法科学性和合理性,为概率理论用于混合不确定性分析奠定基础。
关键词:    不确定性    熵函数    区间数据    离散点    概率密度函数   
An improved entorpy-based representation for mixed uncertainty about intervals and points data
REN Bo1,2, YUE Zhufeng1, CUI Lijie2, WANG Xinhe1, ZHANG Feng1
1. School of Mechanics, Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an 710072, China;
2. Equipment Management and UAV Engineering College, Air Force Engineering University, Xi'an 710051, China
Abstract:
In engineering design problems, intervals refer to any kind of lack of information. This paper presents an improved entorpy-based methodology for a probabilistic representation of a stochastic quantity for which only sparse point data and/or interval data may be available. The combined entropy function is used to measure the uncertainty in data, which is evaluated from the non-parametric probability density function for sparse point data and the cumulative distribution function for interval data, Wherein the entire non-parametric distribution can be discretized at a finite number of points and the probability density values at these points can be inferred using the principle of maximum-entropy, thus avoiding the assumption of any particular distribution. The proposed improved Entorpy-based methodology is then employed in the attempt of interval uncertainty propagation, with the results compared with previous studies. Examples are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of present method. The study reveals great potentials of the probabilistic method for the treatment of the uncertainty in presence of the sparse point data and/or interval data.
Key words:    uncertainty    entropy function    intervals    probability density function    point data   
收稿日期: 2020-10-14     修回日期:
DOI: 10.1051/jnwpu/20224020450
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金(71701210)、航空科学基金(20165196017)与陕西省自然科学基金(2019JQ-710)资助
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作者简介: 任博(1985-),西北工业大学博士后、副教授,主要从事飞行器结构设计、装备安全性及适航研究。e-mail:rabber2003@163.com
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